Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000090 0.000094 0.000099 0.000104 0.000110 0.000116
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000086 0.000093 0.000100 0.000109 0.000119 0.000131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000082 0.000090 0.000099 0.000111 0.000124 0.000141
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000078 0.000087 0.000098 0.000112 0.000128 0.000149
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098 0.000114 0.000134 0.000161
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000075 0.000085 0.000100 0.000118 0.000141 0.000175
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000072 0.000083 0.000098 0.000117 0.000143 0.000182
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000068 0.000080 0.000095 0.000115 0.000143 0.000184
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000066 0.000077 0.000093 0.000114 0.000143 0.000189
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000063 0.000074 0.000089 0.000110 0.000140 0.000187
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000062 0.000074 0.000090 0.000112 0.000145 0.000198
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000074 0.000091 0.000115 0.000151 0.000212
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000072 0.000090 0.000115 0.000153 0.000221
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000119 0.000162 0.000240
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071 0.000090 0.000119 0.000164 0.000251
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000089 0.000119 0.000166 0.000260
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000089 0.000121 0.000172 0.000277
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000069 0.000090 0.000124 0.000181 0.000302
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000054 0.000068 0.000089 0.000123 0.000181 0.000309
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000086 0.000120 0.000178 0.000309
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000085 0.000118 0.000177 0.000312
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000082 0.000114 0.000172 0.000304
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082 0.000116 0.000177 0.000324